YouTube short video on Dr. George Friedman’s “The Next 100 Years a FORECAST for the 21st Century”
The above video is a must watch. Let us get some feedback on feelings about the decline in population. The fertility rate is declining all around the world. What is there to come? Watch the next videos.
“The Decade Ahead: Changing Dynamics in the Middle East” (Dr. George Friedman)
“Next 100 Years - STRATFOR - George Friedman - Part 1” (Dr. George Friedman)
With all the important points touched upon:
· - warfare
· - rising alternative energy source (solar power)
· - middle-eastern immigration and
· - the decline of the current strong cultures
What is Insight you can contribute to this post? Thoughts, feelings…
To reiterate the point of the declining fertility rate, over the next decade where will the declining cultures stand? It is intimidating to think that mathematically, some cultures are forecasted to almost vanish.
From a previously viewed video that I have chosen not to disclose because of religious debate, but thought these points significant to get my point across.
In order for a culture to maintain itself for more than 25 years, the required fertility rate is 2.11 children per family. Historically no culture has ever reversed a 1.9 fertility rate. A rate of 1.3, impossible to reverse, because it would take 80-100 years to correct itself, and there is NO economic model that can sustain a culture in that time. In other words, if two sets of parents each have one child; there are half as many children as parents. If those children have one child then there are one fourth as many grand children as grandparents…
As these populations shrink, “so do the cultures!”
As of 2007 according to the video quoted above,
Fertility Rate:
· France 1.8
· England 1.6
· Greece 1.3
· Germany 1.3
· Italy 1.2
· Spain 1.1
Across the European Union of 31 countries, the fertility rate is 1.38 “Historical research tells us these numbers are impossible to reverse!”
“Out of all population growth in Europe since 1990 90% has been Islamic immigration”
The reason for the population not declining in Europe is because of Islamic Immigration.
The video also goes on to say the following and much more…
In France: Islamic immigrants are having 8.1 children per family, as compared to the native French who are having 1.8 children per family.
In the last 30 years the Muslim population of Great Britain rose from 82,000 to 2.5 million, a 30-Fold increase… In the Netherlands 50% of all newborns are Muslim.
“The fall in the (German) Population can no longer be stopped. Its downward spiral is no longer reversible… It will be a Muslim state by the year 2050” (Germany Federal Statistics office)
Statistics like the above are also true for Canada and the U.S. How does this make declining cultures feel?
My view on this is that through the years and increasing women entering the workforce and having fewer children, this was bound to happen. Although as a woman I greatly value my independence and hard work ethic, I am afraid to think of the future women sharing the same culture as mine. Will all other cultures wipe out all together? It is a frightening thought.
As a touchy subject I ask that all responses please be respectful, unbiased and insightful. Thank you for reading Ella A. Insight.